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MLB Free Play of the Day (Free Top-Tier MLB Play of the Day)
6:40pm EST
Red Sox vs Rays
4u Red Sox 1st 5 ML (+125)
2u Red Sox TT Over 3.5
Coming off a nice 7-1 MLB Run, let's keep it rolling with a nice dawg today. Yesterday, the Rays (-110) was our Top Play of the Day. Yesterday we faded 10-1 Michael Wacha... Today, we go to the opposite side and fade Rasmussen. As I am writing this, Rasmussen was scratched. Rasmussen has been phenomenal this year. Definitely still rolling with the Sox against Chargois. With a large discrepancy in bullpen success, we will go after the 1st 5 here today.
Not many have the courage to take Rich Hill vs Rasmussen (or Chargois) here today. Anyone who knows me, knows I have no fear. If a number is off, I am taking it (especially if it is plus money). Rich Hill has been solid as of late. His analytical & traditional numbers are looking solid. He has avoided solid contact over the past couple months. His barrel rate is down there with the best of them and outside of a couple games vs the best hitting teams against LHP (HOU, ATL, TEX), he has been more than serviceable. In his two outings this year vs the Rays, he is yet to surrender a run. Yes, they were two completely different fashions, but he was able to get the job done. In the first outing, he did not have his best stuff whatsoever. He scrapped and was able to get through 4 innings with no runs allowed. Then two weeks ago, he had the Rays lineup BAFFLED. He had one of his best outings of the year against this Rays lineup. The Rays rank in the bottom-middle against LHP this season and over the past month+.
On the flip side we have the Red Sox who have been has good as anyone in baseball vs RHP over the past month (particularly over the past couple weeks). They have been consistently getting to pitchers with one of the highest slugging percentages & RC+ (analytics stat) in baseball. In the brief amount of appearances vs Chargois, the Red Sox have had a very high exit velocity across the board. The only one who has struggled is J.D Martinez (who has seen Chargois more than anyone).
Let's Roll.
-GPP
Ghost Picks Patrick
Sports Data Specialist - Ghost Picks ATS
patrick.ghostpicksats@gmail.com
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